The worldwide optical transport market will resume expansion and maintain a steady annual growth rate after a decline of 9 percent in 2009, according a new report from Dell'Oro Group Inc., and by 2013 it should reach $14.5 billion.
Shipments of 40gbps wavelengths, meanwhile, are forecast to grow at least 50 percent in each of the next five years and contribute nearly one-third of the capacity shipped in DWDM long haul systems by 2013, the report states, and in late 2001, shipments of 100gbps wavelengths are expected.
“The economy of most major countries is in a recession, and the consensus belief is that this recession may last through 2009,” said Jimmy Yu, director of optical transport research at Dell’Oro Group. “While the near term outlook is for the total optical market to contract 9 percent due to factors such as the economic downturn, there continues to be an opportunity for technologies that will help service providers reduce their capital expense while still expanding their network capacity. We think that 40 gigabit is one of those technologies as the price per bit of a 40gbps wavelength starts to be lower than that of a 10 gigabit wavelength in a DWDM long haul system.”
